Proceedings of the Royal Society B

A new algorithm quantifies the roles of wind and midge flight activity in the bluetongue epizootic in North-West Europe

The 2006 bluetongue outbreak in North-Western Europe had devastating effects on cattle and sheep in that intensively farmed area. The role of wind in disease spread, through its effect on Culicoides dispersal, is still uncertain, and remains unquantified. We examine here the relationship between farm-level infection dates and wind speed and direction within the framework of a novel model involving both mechanistic and stochastic steps.

Subscribe to RSS - Proceedings of the Royal Society B